MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10bd185c39538842e1677e1aba666115af7640a1a233477f85f0b603c46cb5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Tampa Bay Rays, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 39,516$17,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,573.1 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 30,797$13,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,007.88 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed New York Yankees | 56c | 22,732$12,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,002.08 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 18,068$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950.12 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 17,340$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.3 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 16,254$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.16 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 11,640$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.35 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed New York Yankees | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 8,721$4,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.19 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 8,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 7,645$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 60c | 6,040$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.5 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 5,066$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.12 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 55c | 4,301$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.5 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 56c | 4,160$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.73 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 3,447$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.88 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed New York Yankees | 55c | 3,273$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.73 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 3,179$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.34 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees | 60c | 3,121$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.22 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 2,998$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.5 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,864$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.3 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 56c | 2,833$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 2,665$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.46 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 56c | 2,597$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.68 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 2,567$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.07 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,238$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.32 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 68c | 1,851$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.34 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,572$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.96 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,404$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.04 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,337$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.86 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,265$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.16 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,246$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.65 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,213$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.72 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,202$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.1 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,187$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.4 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,135$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.11 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,098$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.14 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,095$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,080$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees | 68c | 1,000$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.45 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.54 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 990$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 58c | 890.71$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 835.83$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 61c | 834.31$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.96 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 826.26$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.29 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed New York Yankees | 74c | 749.53$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.88 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 699.35$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.7 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…ca42backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 584.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 558.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 543.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 542.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.74 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 540$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 508.54$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 487.48$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 484.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 481.92$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.51 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 461$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.52 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Yankees | 45c | 450.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 446$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 431.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 54c | 420.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.35 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 409.39$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 407.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.59 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees | 53c | 402.04$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 346 | 45.1%156 W · 190 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 383.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked New York Yankees | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 322.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 310$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked New York Yankees | 56c | 303.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…ed1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 302.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed New York Yankees | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Yankees | 51c | 299$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 290$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked New York Yankees | 70c | 287.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 278$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.