Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Florida Bulls vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9816718c333581b725dd52ec19b010d77d035c7d9949322e296d24c1e7e20746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma State Cowboysof South Florida Bulls, Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 69c | 4,626$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.53 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed South Florida Bulls | 34c | 4,209$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.17 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 67c | 1,722$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked South Florida Bulls | 37c | 799.85$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed South Florida Bulls | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed South Florida Bulls | 37c | 597.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls | 33c | 545.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…3d4fbacked South Florida Bulls | 7c | 433.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 69c | 406$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed South Florida Bulls | 36c | 287.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 64c | 278$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed South Florida Bulls | 35c | 260$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed South Florida Bulls | 39c | 210.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…ed1dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 78c | 206.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 74c | 184.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 167$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed South Florida Bulls | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked South Florida Bulls | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 74c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked South Florida Bulls | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked South Florida Bulls | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked South Florida Bulls | 35c | 74.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed South Florida Bulls | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 61c | 70.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d48…9bd3backed South Florida Bulls | 39c | 62.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed South Florida Bulls | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed South Florida Bulls | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 63c | 52.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked South Florida Bulls | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed South Florida Bulls | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 61c | 38.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…599dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 63c | 35.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked South Florida Bulls | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…d85fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6671…9ec5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 63c | 27.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…088bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 63c | 25.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.