MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17ed54316c1e222ee253518df04190dec6519eca2199a4e24e13f1966b304913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $668,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 199,386$85,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,650.23 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 80,367$33,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,613 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 69,705$27,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,087.93 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 45,000$26,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,100 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 38,288$17,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,987.08 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 34,610$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 28,172$16,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,057.89 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 25,781$6,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,830.36 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.73 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 19,909$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 19,313$11,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,008.17 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 18,164$10,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,223.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 15,725$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.88 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 15,000$7,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,472.49 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 69c | 14,241$9,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.62 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 13,158$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 12,834$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.6 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 12,429$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.2 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Minnesota Twins | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 8,928$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.55 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 6,509$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 5,922$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.54 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.98 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Twins | 0c | 5,609$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 4,477$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.54 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 4,475$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 4,266$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.78 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 4,089$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.79 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,992$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 3,888$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.36 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,898$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.96 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 16c | 2,193$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.16 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 2,176$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.28 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,842$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 1,758$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.55 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,628$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.63 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,548$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.86 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,499$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.44 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 1,470$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…c130backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 1,251$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,195$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.75 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,141$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.16 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,125$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.95 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 1,102$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…ed3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 1,034$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.09 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 939.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 895.5$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.01 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 861.4$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 838.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 17c | 778.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 778$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.46 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 725.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.66 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…791bbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…3a49backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 699$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 638.87$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 635$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 590$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 549.73$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 527.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.27 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 508$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 426.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 419.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.42 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 401.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 389.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.81 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 389$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 385.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 364$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 355.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 16c | 353.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 347.42$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 338.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 336.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 336.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 324.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.67 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 313$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 304.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 293.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 290$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-5.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.