Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock Trojans vs. SIUE Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb564dcf2e9a48fcffdf541b74dcfa795cb2c102d598c49e7f54250340ab7bc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Little Rock Trojansof Little Rock Trojans, SIUE Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Little Rock Trojans | 65c | 1,148$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.04 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked SIUE Cougars | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 41c | 923.26$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SIUE Cougars | 25c | 771.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed SIUE Cougars | 22c | 728.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Little Rock Trojans | 18c | 618.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed SIUE Cougars | 59c | 617$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.03 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Little Rock Trojans | 39c | 574.55$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.41 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed SIUE Cougars | 3c | 559.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked SIUE Cougars | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed SIUE Cougars | 60c | 462.75$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…c471backed SIUE Cougars | 25c | 402.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Little Rock Trojans | 34c | 381.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.87 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Little Rock Trojans | 36c | 352.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Little Rock Trojans | 74c | 313.01$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Little Rock Trojans | 10c | 294$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.72 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed SIUE Cougars | 7c | 290.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Little Rock Trojans | 39c | 239.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked SIUE Cougars | 62c | 237$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed SIUE Cougars | 60c | 231.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked SIUE Cougars | 60c | 228.15$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked SIUE Cougars | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked SIUE Cougars | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Little Rock Trojans | 15c | 157.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Little Rock Trojans | 23c | 121.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked SIUE Cougars | 61c | 95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 19c | 93.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed SIUE Cougars | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Little Rock Trojans | 28c | 68.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…7eeebacked Little Rock Trojans | 77c | 55.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked SIUE Cougars | 59c | 53.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Little Rock Trojans | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed SIUE Cougars | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Little Rock Trojans | 51c | 32.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Little Rock Trojans | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked SIUE Cougars | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked SIUE Cougars | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Little Rock Trojans | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed SIUE Cougars | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Little Rock Trojans vs. SIUE Cougarsthis page
- Little Rock Trojans vs. SIUE Cougars: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: SIUE Cougars (-2.5)Little Rock Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.