Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15f5e9f2c77b84edae74f1345f40fa4dd2fdd33f68336a6540f18f178d34b515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bakersfield Roadrunnersof UC Riverside Highlanders, Bakersfield Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 59c | 865.65$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 61c | 854.63$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 29c | 824.48$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 511.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 43c | 444$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 55c | 403.85$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 66c | 383.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 69c | 281.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 29c | 270.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 74c | 258.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 58c | 202$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 157$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 26c | 137$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 64c | 96.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 24c | 89.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 60c | 80.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 61.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 76c | 37.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 31.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 62c | 21.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 69c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersthis page
- Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-3.5)UC Riverside Highlanders won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 149.5Under won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.