Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Montana State Bobcats vs. Eastern Washington Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc899f83da57c17a74b4bf7e64c9f4117561c6cc89987d5cd9f1b0e249647772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana State Bobcatsof Montana State Bobcats, Eastern Washington Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 44c | 4,739$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.89 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 51c | 2,641$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 42c | 2,070$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.35 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Montana State Bobcats | 56c | 1,632$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 1,584$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Montana State Bobcats | 69c | 987.83$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 44c | 931$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.22 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…1ef9backed Montana State Bobcats | 49c | 722.69$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 42c | 660.63$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 452.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 377.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Montana State Bobcats | 42c | 353$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Montana State Bobcats | 51c | 340.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 39c | 297.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Montana State Bobcats | 48c | 289$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Montana State Bobcats | 47c | 275.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 62c | 272.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 255.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 221.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 44c | 145.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Montana State Bobcats | 62c | 129.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 33c | 118$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Montana State Bobcats | 43c | 115$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Montana State Bobcats | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Montana State Bobcats | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 108.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…9d6abacked Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 80.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Montana State Bobcats | 56c | 78.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 24c | 67.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Montana State Bobcats | 41c | 49.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 45c | 44.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 40.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Montana State Bobcats | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Montana State Bobcats | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked Montana State Bobcats | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montana State Bobcats vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesthis page
- Montana State Bobcats vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 154.5Under won
- Montana State Bobcats vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Montana State Bobcats (-2.5)Montana State Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.