TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mmohof Mmoh, Khachanov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Mmoh73c9,007$6,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.735064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Mmoh66c8,392$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.892650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Khachanov28c7,587$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.768,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Mmoh30c6,782$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,749.1915447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mmoh59c6,480$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.212,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Khachanov79c6,347$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Khachanov35c5,590$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.095851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mmoh64c5,498$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.512,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Khachanov18c5,432$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.4928444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mmoh74c5,399$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.8611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Khachanov45c4,416$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Khachanov2c4,214$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.118713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mmoh22c3,767$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.161,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Khachanov71c3,491$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.5515665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Khachanov42c3,234$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.271,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Khachanov37c3,208$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.843935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Khachanov71c2,622$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.9965558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Khachanov29c2,453$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70031647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mmoh27c2,425$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.2310443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Khachanov14c2,322$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2610161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Khachanov29c1,873$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.4681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…1d6ebacked Mmoh59c1,827$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mmoh47c1,775$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.17,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Mmoh29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1462545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Mmoh67c1,535$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.76043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Khachanov73c1,480$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.3614456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Khachanov33c1,332$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44412631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Mmoh76c1,295$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.314247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Khachanov9c1,253$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8110815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Khachanov60c1,206$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8396…0de1backed Khachanov15c1,171$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Mmoh28c1,054$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.081315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Khachanov70c1,050$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.6514744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Mmoh34c1,003$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.872,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Khachanov34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Khachanov48c931.44$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.671,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Khachanov20c929.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.353938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Khachanov68c851.41$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.966756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Mmoh60c835.24$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.663941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Khachanov72c833.75$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Khachanov49c797.98$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8810252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Mmoh31c778.28$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.375349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd2…85b5backed Mmoh53c764.57$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.351361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Khachanov19c694.73$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.312,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed Khachanov34c683.75$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Khachanov74c675.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b36…cd58backed Mmoh28c670$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Khachanov70c641.87$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.311,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mmoh27c634.24$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.852,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Khachanov17c623.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.15850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Khachanov44c617.55$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.511,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Khachanov70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42042141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Khachanov17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Khachanov70c542$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.41,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Khachanov70c537.27$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0915646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Khachanov41c529.51$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.126131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Khachanov48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Khachanov68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Mmoh31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3455164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Khachanov73c497.34$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0613653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Khachanov12c485.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.445040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked Khachanov69c461.98$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.73666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Khachanov69c408.25$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.747,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca12…44bdbacked Khachanov72c407$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Khachanov70c404.78$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.052,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1648…3ab3backed Mmoh73c403.13$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.38366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Khachanov10c401.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Khachanov52c399.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10a…c514backed Mmoh29c335.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Khachanov66c300$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9859348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Khachanov9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+134.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Khachanov9c299.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Khachanov10c299.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+117.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Khachanov72c277.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Khachanov73c274.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34dc…3cdcbacked Khachanov73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Khachanov73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f51…e179backed Mmoh31c270.53$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.661520%3 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe65…9fbbbacked Khachanov72c263$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c1…4f93backed Khachanov24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.860%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Mmoh42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.112335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…d24cbacked Khachanov22c229.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Khachanov70c218.11$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.689669.8%67 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Khachanov72c217$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Khachanov24c211.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7628139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc592…e709backed Khachanov30c211.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+104.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Khachanov48c201.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1236038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Khachanov70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Khachanov9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Khachanov38c198.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.251,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7e…ffa1backed Khachanov16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+127.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Mmoh29c182.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Khachanov23c180$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.13030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Khachanov70c178.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Mmoh35c168.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1330741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Mmoh30c164.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.581643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Mmoh75c162.84$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8386470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Khachanov65c158.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Khachanov65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Khachanov49c153.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.