Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Casper Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x892e4d4cca3d21717972f7c8f68d12fc71559fa796507892bf9d3fdd35faff48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marozsanof Marozsan, Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marozsan | 53c | 21,588$11,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,113.1 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ruud | 50c | 16,785$8,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,408.45 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ruud | 27c | 11,532$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.78 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Marozsan | 68c | 8,888$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Ruud | 54c | 7,551$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.94 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ruud | 64c | 7,026$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.08 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Marozsan | 61c | 6,934$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.23 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Ruud | 46c | 6,550$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Ruud | 34c | 6,131$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Marozsan | 55c | 5,342$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.83 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Ruud | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Marozsan | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marozsan | 32c | 2,780$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.07 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Marozsan | 50c | 2,672$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Ruud | 50c | 2,409$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marozsan | 42c | 2,285$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.87 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Marozsan | 50c | 2,017$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Ruud | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marozsan | 64c | 1,728$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Marozsan | 68c | 1,632$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marozsan | 59c | 1,559$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.58 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Marozsan | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ruud | 50c | 1,467$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…91debacked Ruud | 15c | 1,315$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Ruud | 49c | 1,235$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.45 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Ruud | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.31 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Marozsan | 60c | 1,100$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruud | 44c | 1,074$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.79 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Marozsan | 47c | 1,041$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.47 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Ruud | 65c | 1,025$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.12 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Ruud | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Ruud | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Ruud | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Marozsan | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Ruud | 27c | 1,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Marozsan | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Marozsan | 57c | 969.88$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Ruud | 52c | 962.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Marozsan | 35c | 847.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Marozsan | 66c | 801.7$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Ruud | 40c | 799.6$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.84 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marozsan | 34c | 786.49$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.28 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Ruud | 49c | 685$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.65 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Marozsan | 56c | 672.84$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.56 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Marozsan | 54c | 614$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.44 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Ruud | 67c | 611.9$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.98 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Ruud | 52c | 570$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Ruud | 47c | 538.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.05 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Ruud | 58c | 521.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marozsan | 40c | 509.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Marozsan | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marozsan | 57c | 476.16$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marozsan | 33c | 461.16$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.98 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Marozsan | 53c | 458.22$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.22 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Ruud | 34c | 435.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Ruud | 51c | 432.8$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Ruud | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…d53ebacked Ruud | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Ruud | 59c | 385.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.31 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Ruud | 46c | 358$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Ruud | 40c | 322.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marozsan | 64c | 312.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Ruud | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Ruud | 17c | 304.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…c001backed Marozsan | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked Marozsan | 63c | 293.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Marozsan | 54c | 287.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Marozsan | 36c | 281.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…44aabacked Marozsan | 47c | 269.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Ruud | 47c | 268.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Ruud | 40c | 251.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ruud | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Marozsan | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…576ebacked Ruud | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2c…6b78backed Marozsan | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Ruud | 36c | 234.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked Marozsan | 63c | 225$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Ruud | 51c | 220.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Marozsan | 58c | 216.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Marozsan | 51c | 213.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Ruud | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Marozsan | 41c | 196.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Marozsan | 57c | 193.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Ruud | 67c | 193$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Marozsan | 52c | 191.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Marozsan | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Ruud | 42c | 177.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Marozsan | 31c | 171.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Ruud | 35c | 167.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Marozsan | 50c | 164.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Ruud | 29c | 151.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Marozsan | 53c | 150.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…8fa3backed Marozsan | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Ruud | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Marozsan | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ruud | 42c | 141.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Marozsan | 72c | 138.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…4eb9backed Marozsan | 54c | 128.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Ruud | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ruud | 64c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Casper Ruudthis page
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)Marozsan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.