College Football · resolved market
Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba0e50d43a2e4d127f2cf93053ac8b1beb7d9bbd6666c750a4636071dabc53d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise Stateof Boise State, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $782,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $693,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 125,947$8,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,816.29 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 11c | 95,281$10,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,713.56 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 75,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 65,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.99 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 50,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 46,804$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.28 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 40,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 40,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 29,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 26,280$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.63 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 20,349$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.97 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 14,092$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.19 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 13,933$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 11,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 5,057$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.85 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 4,164$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 4,046$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 12c | 3,401$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.13 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 3,270$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.43 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 2c | 2,995$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 2,932$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 2,271$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 9c | 2,250$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 2,100$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 1,314$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 12c | 1,278$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 1,090$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…383dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 10c | 965$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 735.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 575.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 4c | 515.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 2c | 455.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 9c | 321.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 304.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…d5bcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 272.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 259.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…2257backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 210.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 13c | 156.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 15c | 138.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…1661backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Packthis page
- Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 51.5Under won
- O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Boise State (-21.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.