TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mullerof Muller, Struff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1569…4e0cbacked Muller70c26,082$18,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,946.57666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Struff3c14,572$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.38313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Muller71c5,900$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Struff61c4,281$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.8424844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Muller46c4,216$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.952,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Muller58c3,748$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Struff31c2,971$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.324841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Muller76c2,888$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.9211943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Muller66c2,882$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.910060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Struff50c2,652$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.388530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Muller31c2,581$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.728562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Muller56c2,566$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.256,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Struff61c2,308$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.243265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Struff52c2,000$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.844650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Struff57c1,943$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.8862742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Muller58c1,942$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.218,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Struff38c1,923$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.32,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9b…4193backed Muller40c1,703$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ea…f807backed Struff60c1,700$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Muller42c1,366$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.819742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Muller43c1,198$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.0196035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8337…2352backed Struff58c1,060$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.62458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Struff70c1,029$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72018663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Struff52c987.99$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.31,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Muller41c871.13$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2655143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Struff32c861.78$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Muller35c846.85$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.2659151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Muller43c846.02$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.392250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Struff57c792.57$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.9243042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Muller72c785$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.522548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77dd…926dbacked Struff35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.52123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Muller59c749.79$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0916644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Muller40c729$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.313935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Struff40c689.4$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.031,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Struff65c685.86$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.917957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Struff15c685.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Muller40c675$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4056250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Struff31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Muller32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42519131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Muller32c617.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.174630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Struff61c556.24$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33825355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Struff58c533$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1422037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Muller66c529.21$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.293557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x206b…2370backed Struff59c510.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3269…d5b3backed Muller42c510$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Muller41c490.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.8924544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Muller71c421.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8312253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Struff28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Muller44c350$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.58248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Struff58c324.21$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.041,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Muller63c319.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4922744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Muller43c317.95$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.656530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Muller42c309.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.99848%47 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Muller29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2135362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Muller39c299.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.996752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc4…48aebacked Struff68c296.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.531250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68b5…b56fbacked Struff61c274.33$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.343743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Muller37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Muller41c267.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4549749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Muller33c259.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17428443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc13…5e09backed Muller79c241$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Struff42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…3c13backed Muller42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Muller43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5648043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b993backed Struff73c231.12$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.822626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2705…9096backed Struff53c215.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Muller33c215.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1510843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a92…543dbacked Struff61c204.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Muller70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602572%18 W · 7 L+5.9wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+97.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd205…1c8cbacked Muller41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Muller50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd30…4163backed Struff70c197.37$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Struff77c195$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.182450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Struff26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505350.9%27 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb59c…9b66backed Muller77c158.49$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.45666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fd…4533backed Muller43c155.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8110248%49 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2e…edbdbacked Struff71c152.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x647d…3cd9backed Muller40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4b4…efc6backed Struff71c139.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d7…36fbbacked Muller36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…74efbacked Struff33c132.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5399…fab2backed Muller44c128.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.392751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Muller43c127.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Muller58c126.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8775547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Struff62c124.81$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.795450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Muller43c123.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.267664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Struff59c116.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Struff57c109.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0936464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Muller43c106.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9811054.5%60 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc5…6092backed Muller42c102.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+236.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Muller39c102.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2573048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Struff26c102$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5249632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…a062backed Struff25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed Struff80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802268.2%15 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d4f…2cefbacked Struff60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…261cbacked Struff76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Struff60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Muller40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ceb…1952backed Struff42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Muller36c99.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4931339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.