Middle East · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac0b06ad351c18631859aded06c8502633219be993f1d3ae987c21665645ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6db8…2e56backed No | 10c | 20,940$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b74…778cbacked No | 4c | 11,295$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…c03abacked No | 10c | 9,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…58b9backed No | 7c | 8,848$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 6,979$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.49 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 6,473$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 16c | 5,700$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 5,058$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 4,872$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed No | 6c | 4,752$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…d7c0backed No | 6c | 4,417$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…ca34backed No | 3c | 4,393$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 6c | 3,600$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…ea0fbacked No | 15c | 3,333$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ca7backed No | 5c | 3,278$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 4c | 3,001$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…7313backed No | 11c | 3,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…c212backed No | 6c | 2,851$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed No | 4c | 2,800$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 0c | 2,785$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 4c | 2,516$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 12c | 2,410$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb57…0a7bbacked No | 8c | 2,354$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…d719backed No | 8c | 2,295$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 2c | 2,242$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 2,119$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 1c | 2,072$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 1,973$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…1016backed No | 4c | 1,957$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…c27ebacked No | 1c | 1,857$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 6c | 1,783$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…5321backed No | 4c | 1,738$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked No | 14c | 1,711$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 3c | 1,700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 143 | 0.7%1 W · 142 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 1,687$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked No | 10c | 1,626$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.64 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…2ebabacked No | 1c | 1,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…671abacked No | 4c | 1,583$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 8c | 1,573$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f5…1678backed No | 13c | 1,536$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…c1d1backed No | 2c | 1,511$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 2c | 1,493$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 7c | 1,380$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 23cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 6c | 1,337$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 1,309$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 3c | 1,300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…5647backed No | 4c | 1,252$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6997…797ebacked No | 5c | 1,217$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 8c | 1,200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…f523backed No | 5c | 1,186$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 3c | 1,184$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked No | 5c | 1,135$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…9094backed No | 9c | 1,089$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,048$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.91 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e1…f9a4backed No | 2c | 1,042$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…a650backed No | 3c | 999.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc69…66bbbacked No | 4c | 988.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…545abacked No | 9c | 985$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 968.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5c…903dbacked No | 11c | 937.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 2c | 920$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…9116backed No | 3c | 904.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 3c | 865.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 3c | 852.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 78c | 823.75$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 2c | 822.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 75 | 13.3%10 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1386…6fc4backed No | 4c | 808.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…dd0abacked No | 5c | 800$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 7c | 731.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 8c | 700$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked No | 8c | 698.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 14c | 673.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…5a62backed No | 2c | 670$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…dc11backed No | 2c | 669.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…72b8backed No | 5c | 661.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…6e34backed No | 8c | 651.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…e48ebacked No | 2c | 650$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 2c | 648$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed No | 3c | 644.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cd…ac7cbacked No | 4c | 625.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 12c | 582.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 9c | 577.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…12a2backed No | 19c | 568.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 10c | 562.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…3faebacked No | 2c | 560.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…8616backed No | 2c | 557.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 52c | 529.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.09 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed No | 5c | 487.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…05ddbacked No | 4c | 484.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565e…ff48backed No | 7c | 442.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…3d43backed No | 5c | 411.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…cae1backed No | 5c | 400.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 36c | 387.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 67c | 378.11$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…175cbacked No | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6d3cbacked No | 5c | 370.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 3c | 362.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…2be0backed No | 5c | 360.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.