CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb6201e74285905d39a1db59b2fd18a165d97eacc1e7fe6d0e55f395a78b6d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,755 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 23c | 1,361$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.46 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 1,251$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 893.8$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed RUSTEC | 23c | 852.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 827.67$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.85 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…fa21backed RUSTEC | 33c | 803.03$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…6d64backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked RUSTEC | 20c | 635$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 477.73$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed RUSTEC | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed RUSTEC | 29c | 312$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RUSTEC | 21c | 270.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 270.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…19f5backed RUSTEC | 22c | 231.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 178.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed RUSTEC | 18c | 152.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 144.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…8072backed RUSTEC | 21c | 138.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed RUSTEC | 22c | 136.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed RUSTEC | 23c | 125.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed RUSTEC | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked RUSTEC | 15c | 124.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked RUSTEC | 24c | 121.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 117.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…ed42backed RUSTEC | 22c | 113.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…6514backed RUSTEC | 20c | 111.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed RUSTEC | 9c | 109.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 97.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked RUSTEC | 12c | 87.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked RUSTEC | 29c | 85.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RUSTEC | 29c | 85.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…0674backed RUSTEC | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…fb7abacked RUSTEC | 25c | 78.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed RUSTEC | 13c | 77.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…ad59backed RUSTEC | 21c | 71.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…fffbbacked RUSTEC | 28c | 69.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RUSTEC | 27c | 65.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 61.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed RUSTEC | 29c | 61.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed RUSTEC | 29c | 44.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…2d8bbacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 43.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…55f2backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 35.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…8570backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…2ca1backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 23.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07a…05eabacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…861ebacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…4c5bbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5)RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.