Venezuela · resolved market
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe98938875eadeffcc491c02ae0e0f11d45352c8f70c1bcdec397ffc7dfdec8a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,432,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,394,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,432,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a73…c860backed Yes | 1c | 850,970$8,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…6771backed Yes | 1c | 585,027$5,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 6c | 15,551$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 5c | 13,382$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 4c | 12,518$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 11,346$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.13 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…8370backed Yes | 5c | 9,591$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 6c | 8,843$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 9cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…f7cdbacked Yes | 6c | 8,159$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…5625backed Yes | 5c | 6,455$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…1e0ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,443$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 5,894$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Yes | 4c | 5,771$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 5,141$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.59 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…4776backed Yes | 1c | 5,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,339$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.89 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…17cdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,944$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8f08backed Yes | 1c | 3,650$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852b…759ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,489$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…096abacked Yes | 5c | 3,310$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9515…10d7backed Yes | 3c | 3,141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 3,138$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 5c | 3,095$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 3c | 2,785$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…9205backed Yes | 5c | 2,537$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…0e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,131$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…e90fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,100$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…fd03backed Yes | 12c | 2,066$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…f284backed Yes | 4c | 2,059$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…d1c9backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 3c | 1,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…c5ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,769$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…91a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,745$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…1375backed Yes | 6c | 1,736$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 1,695$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…8b7cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,588$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…b099backed Yes | 6c | 1,587$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…a90ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,583$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…b7ecbacked Yes | 2c | 1,579$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 6c | 1,518$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed Yes | 3c | 1,507$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…a09ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,471$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…c8c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,451$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8197…d06bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,443$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,417$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…f960backed Yes | 2c | 1,403$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…9cfbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,358$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caf…6833backed Yes | 4c | 1,317$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…42f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,311$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…24a5backed Yes | 3c | 1,296$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…3e03backed Yes | 5c | 1,275$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 1,275$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed Yes | 1c | 1,263$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,258$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…16afbacked Yes | 2c | 1,205$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…833abacked Yes | 4c | 1,188$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…5267backed Yes | 12c | 1,142$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 4c | 1,124$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 1,090$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,054$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…b217backed Yes | 3c | 1,021$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…f4d4backed Yes | 5c | 1,021$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…b882backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…7967backed Yes | 4c | 976.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 4c | 900.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…b9a7backed Yes | 2c | 896.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…1d08backed Yes | 1c | 889.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 5c | 880.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd50…b81dbacked Yes | 6c | 808.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6a…7305backed Yes | 9c | 753.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 3c | 735.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…7453backed Yes | 2c | 687.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 6c | 675.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…5e26backed Yes | 2c | 668.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…0454backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes | 5c | 611.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe56…ad2bbacked Yes | 3c | 582.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ace…9850backed Yes | 4c | 577.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…19dabacked Yes | 3c | 573.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…aed9backed Yes | 9c | 570.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…973abacked Yes | 4c | 568.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…f8d1backed Yes | 4c | 566$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…108ebacked Yes | 9c | 565.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…0c59backed Yes | 3c | 560.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…8635backed Yes | 4c | 560$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…9f52backed Yes | 4c | 558.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…84c6backed Yes | 4c | 534.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 7c | 528.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…0b24backed Yes | 3c | 501.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…6188backed Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…b68bbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 5c | 492.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 484.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.