TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5dc…17d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Commodities, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT18321.9%40 W · 143 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 183 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+294.9%+$147.45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$45.53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$75.01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+165%+$77.36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.97
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$67.71
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.91
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.24
Showing 25 of 183 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+716.3%+$143.25
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+819.2%+$123.79
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$142.41
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+60.9%+$30.47
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+270.9%+$54.18
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+295.3%+$47.26
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+181.7%+$36.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-64.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48%+$95.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$88.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RadarOmega: Doppler Radar App be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.