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Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Wallets last checked .

TweetsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 9 wallets, $1,304 · No: 4 wallets, $160 9 of 13 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Tweets when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Tweets when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xaae4…aa62#3 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$5734c+$109.9763
0x0a16…1cb2#5 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$57261c+$369.0963
0x625b…3a3e#15 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$13143c+$174.0759
0xbbf4…3b45#22 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1230c-$11.9258
0x9472…f660#26 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$8432c+$176.6358
0xaabb…daf3#30 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$13545c+$16557
0xc948…e6cd#35 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$3738c+$59.8357
0x276a…d445#38 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$8876c-$87.657
0x2583…8c74#43 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$18319c+$772.4157
0x5343…9808#54 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$4723c+$160.7556
0xca60…310d#73 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$6040c+$90.556
0x4878…dfac#82 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2562c-$24.9455
0xa278…3369#99 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3672c-$35.6955

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 6 wallets, $572 · No: 3 wallets, $780 3 of 9 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Tweets when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Tweets when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x0a16…1cb2#5 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$55471c+$229.8363
0x9472…f660#26 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$21571c+$88.7458
0xc948…e6cd#35 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5856c-$57.7357
0x276a…d445#38 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1240c+$1857
0x2583…8c74#43 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$40022c-$40057
0x5343…9808#54 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$3030c-$30.556
0xa354…22eb#58 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1662c-$16.1256
0xca60…310d#73 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1212c-$11.556
0x504e…1a2f#97 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5614c-$56.4955

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 3 wallets, $34 · No: 1 wallet, $93 1 of 4 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Tweets when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Tweets when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x9472…f660#26 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$9378c+$26.5258
0xaabb…daf3#30 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$105c-$1057
0x5343…9808#54 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1313c-$12.6956
0xca60…310d#73 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$117c-$11.2556

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 1 wallet, $10 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 1 wallet backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Tweets when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Tweets when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xaabb…daf3#30 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$105c-$1057

1 qualified pick on this market is not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

2 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

7 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

14 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

43 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

83 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

159 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

215 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

1 qualified pick on this market is not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

9 other settled markets of this event are not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on them.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.