TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tien

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tienof Berrettini, Tien
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Tien44c33,479$14,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,783.0427063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Berrettini57c26,374$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Berrettini50c20,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,099.9866949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Berrettini48c14,418$6,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,887.1616644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c27…4099backed Tien52c11,361$5,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,453.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Tien37c7,196$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,511.715048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Berrettini22c6,839$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.088,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Tien44c5,773$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.1222629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed Tien44c3,640$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Berrettini56c3,305$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.7825722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd088…4964backed Tien42c2,899$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.42633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Berrettini77c2,898$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.861,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Berrettini56c2,868$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.831,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Berrettini52c2,583$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.091,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54cd…3fd9backed Tien48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Berrettini55c2,457$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.9962742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Berrettini56c2,321$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3008148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ab…1cabbacked Berrettini53c2,296$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Berrettini51c2,239$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.142,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Tien46c2,134$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Tien45c2,110$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.558530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Berrettini65c2,072$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.6257249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0d…9cd6backed Tien48c1,847$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Berrettini40c1,756$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.6375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Berrettini57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Berrettini56c1,714$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Berrettini56c1,615$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.3222037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x946c…4909backed Tien48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…69fabacked Berrettini52c1,455$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tien45c1,394$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.891,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Tien50c1,372$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6864831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Tien35c1,285$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.161741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Tien19c1,272$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.851933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…cef0backed Berrettini7c1,268$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.76633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04e3…19bebacked Berrettini58c1,265$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc963…a478backed Berrettini53c1,233$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa948…e45abacked Berrettini52c1,232$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Tien64c1,220$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6618663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c43…7de9backed Tien47c1,211$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Tien31c1,200$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83322641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…dfb4backed Tien48c1,187$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbe1…a551backed Berrettini24c1,171$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe7…c216backed Berrettini53c1,124$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Tien45c1,102$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.115151%26 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Berrettini53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58323852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639d…0f9fbacked Tien47c1,086$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8612…5ea6backed Tien47c1,085$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Tien23c1,031$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.662770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Tien47c1,028$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.9711053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Berrettini13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.928833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Tien42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5807226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Tien45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47cf…bab7backed Berrettini52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab0…a159backed Tien47c995$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Tien46c970$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.98248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ede…da07backed Tien47c941$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Berrettini57c880.65$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9724852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Berrettini56c856.76$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3393…6fb6backed Berrettini58c845$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb23…6c30backed Berrettini55c842.18$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.34740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Berrettini75c835$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.256,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b6…5533backed Berrettini52c830$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Berrettini55c828.5$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.6511343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Tien45c817.89$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.8765242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098d…d9b0backed Berrettini52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Tien39c791.9$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe3…d2eabacked Berrettini58c789$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.62560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…bdf1backed Berrettini43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…adcdbacked Tien41c732.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.53540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Tien58c729.71$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.7113435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Berrettini36c729.38$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.589452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e29…9c58backed Tien48c720$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bb…1b77backed Berrettini52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Tien44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8214546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8571…61fabacked Berrettini52c677$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Tien30c671.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.942050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f1…5b3ebacked Berrettini53c665$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Berrettini56c601.82$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.0227431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Berrettini50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Tien21c595$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.058313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5478backed Berrettini56c569.96$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d81…56b1backed Berrettini52c542$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Berrettini56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tien59c534.2$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a2…1aabbacked Tien45c525.42$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61cf…ab45backed Berrettini52c509$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Tien45c508.64$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.757041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Tien45c508.24$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.94955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa79…8421backed Berrettini52c508$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Tien61c506.45$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.921,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tien45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27581938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Tien45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2756046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Tien43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Tien40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d42…c873backed Tien48c499$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9005…d988backed Tien65c461.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.69944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid-21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Tien49c451.06$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.063948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7b…4959backed Tien76c445$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Tien45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.446530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Tien45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4440141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.