NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a6e1c5925817f6cf7b5fe1d0eda853afe80a345cd5ab54319d8c73c591f829d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Dolphins, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $897,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $982,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $897,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Dolphins | 14c | 162,709$22,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,830.43 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…72ebbacked Dolphins | 15c | 125,511$19,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,152.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dolphins | 12c | 50,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Dolphins | 3c | 31,689$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dolphins | 2c | 31,531$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.37 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dolphins | 16c | 19,928$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.49 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Dolphins | 12c | 19,031$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.69 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 5c | 18,511$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.35 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Dolphins | 16c | 18,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.97 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Dolphins | 8c | 14,607$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.55 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Dolphins | 9c | 14,482$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.72 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Dolphins | 12c | 10,250$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.97 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Dolphins | 8c | 9,483$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Dolphins | 0c | 7,721$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dolphins | 4c | 6,006$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Dolphins | 0c | 5,597$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Dolphins | 0c | 4,700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dolphins | 3c | 4,226$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Dolphins | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Dolphins | 11c | 4,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Dolphins | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Dolphins | 16c | 3,999$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.92 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Dolphins | 11c | 3,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.98 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Dolphins | 14c | 3,317$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.16 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dolphins | 14c | 3,214$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Dolphins | 12c | 3,065$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dolphins | 5c | 2,869$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Dolphins | 6c | 2,500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Dolphins | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Dolphins | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked Dolphins | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Dolphins | 3c | 1,250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Dolphins | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Dolphins | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Dolphins | 14c | 1,089$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Dolphins | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Dolphins | 10c | 1,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Dolphins | 10c | 1,021$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…21e6backed Dolphins | 15c | 1,020$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Dolphins | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Dolphins | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Dolphins | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dolphins | 7c | 936.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Dolphins | 3c | 927.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dolphins | 3c | 902.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Dolphins | 11c | 876.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Dolphins | 11c | 875$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Dolphins | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Dolphins | 16c | 781.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Dolphins | 6c | 747.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Dolphins | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…d32cbacked Dolphins | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…06d2backed Dolphins | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Dolphins | 4c | 650.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…417ebacked Dolphins | 4c | 642.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Dolphins | 16c | 613.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Dolphins | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…a6c2backed Dolphins | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Dolphins | 14c | 570.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Dolphins | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Dolphins | 16c | 555$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Dolphins | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dolphins | 7c | 549.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Dolphins | 7c | 519.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Dolphins | 17c | 506.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232b…8337backed Dolphins | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…7061backed Dolphins | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Dolphins | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Dolphins | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Dolphins | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Dolphins | 16c | 495.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…99fbbacked Dolphins | 9c | 482.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…7130backed Dolphins | 17c | 480.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Dolphins | 11c | 472.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Dolphins | 3c | 472.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…5ec7backed Dolphins | 10c | 465.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…6c06backed Dolphins | 5c | 432.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…fc9dbacked Dolphins | 6c | 387.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dolphins | 7c | 366$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…e279backed Dolphins | 17c | 358$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…f97ebacked Dolphins | 11c | 357.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ede…17cbbacked Dolphins | 13c | 343.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…3958backed Dolphins | 9c | 337.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed Dolphins | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Dolphins | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Dolphins | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Dolphins | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Dolphins | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Dolphins | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Dolphins | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Dolphins | 4c | 258.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Dolphins | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Dolphins | 16c | 248.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…2f6bbacked Dolphins | 17c | 239.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Dolphins | 13c | 231.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Patriots | 76c | 216.76$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Dolphins | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Dolphins | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…1056backed Dolphins | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…a993backed Dolphins | 11c | 183.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dolphins vs. Patriotsthis page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Dolphins won
- Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Patriots (-10.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-11.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-12.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-13.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-14.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-9.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.