TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26b9…5ec7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.89
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$35.59
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.63
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.9%+$104.93
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+135.3%+$135.33
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$101.38
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Big Game: 'NE Dynasty' Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.6%+$257.68
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+87.1%+$196.03
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$126.54
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+239.5%+$191.63
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+194.1%+$98.09
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+720.7%+$576.53
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$101.85
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.74
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.39
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$82.9
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.04
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.84
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.55
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$66.05
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$195
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.58
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.