UFC · resolved market
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38fd01ef229559c2bbbc635c8d93ce1c750afe467dc179d39365b78bd10ec9aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cub Swansonof Cub Swanson, Nate Landwehr
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $661,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $741,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 248,609$134,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,360.31 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Nate Landwehr | 46c | 146,650$66,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,992.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 84,139$38,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,704 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Nate Landwehr | 50c | 41,437$20,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,709.58 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Cub Swanson | 51c | 32,893$16,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,267.7 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Cub Swanson | 55c | 30,256$16,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,718.58 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cub Swanson | 50c | 27,003$13,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,501.59 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 25,578$14,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,538.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Nate Landwehr | 46c | 21,035$9,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,675.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 20,973$9,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,676.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Nate Landwehr | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Cub Swanson | 51c | 19,986$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,793.3 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nate Landwehr | 15c | 13,332$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.04 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nate Landwehr | 9c | 12,250$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.6 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 11,844$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.77 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Nate Landwehr | 46c | 10,483$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.34 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Nate Landwehr | 11c | 9,425$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.15 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cub Swanson | 50c | 9,345$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680.57 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 9,100$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.98 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nate Landwehr | 46c | 5,489$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.12 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 5,352$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.97 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nate Landwehr | 18c | 4,959$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.46 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cub Swanson | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…be95backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…7eb3backed Nate Landwehr | 48c | 4,044$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Nate Landwehr | 4c | 3,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Nate Landwehr | 49c | 3,627$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.54 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 3,018$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.36 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Nate Landwehr | 1c | 2,822$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cub Swanson | 53c | 2,540$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Nate Landwehr | 1c | 2,352$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 2,251$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.43 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 2,225$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.56 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Cub Swanson | 53c | 2,114$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.58 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Nate Landwehr | 46c | 2,074$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.71 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nate Landwehr | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Nate Landwehr | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Nate Landwehr | 48c | 1,927$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.1 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 1,896$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.24 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Cub Swanson | 53c | 1,843$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Cub Swanson | 53c | 1,794$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Cub Swanson | 50c | 1,568$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.76 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 1,545$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.87 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Nate Landwehr | 53c | 1,467$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.44 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Nate Landwehr | 45c | 1,400$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.97 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Nate Landwehr | 48c | 1,356$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Cub Swanson | 55c | 1,299$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cub Swanson | 53c | 1,180$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.62 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c8…d45dbacked Nate Landwehr | 46c | 1,124$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 1,098$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…a882backed Nate Landwehr | 1c | 1,090$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Cub Swanson | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Nate Landwehr | 47c | 1,048$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.37 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Nate Landwehr | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Nate Landwehr | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Cub Swanson | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Nate Landwehr | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Nate Landwehr | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 902.24$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Cub Swanson | 55c | 899.05$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 897.12$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Cub Swanson | 54c | 886.18$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.64 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…10afbacked Cub Swanson | 55c | 884.6$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Nate Landwehr | 47c | 873.87$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.52 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 818.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.23 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Nate Landwehr | 50c | 794.73$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.33 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Cub Swanson | 51c | 775.63$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Cub Swanson | 52c | 775$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Nate Landwehr | 47c | 751.9$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 739.02$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Cub Swanson | 54c | 729.61$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.13 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Cub Swanson | 51c | 727.95$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.7 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…9492backed Cub Swanson | 51c | 719.96$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…e7cabacked Cub Swanson | 64c | 709.72$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.14 | 110 | 78.2%86 W · 24 L | +15.6wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Cub Swanson | 55c | 699.06$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nate Landwehr | 6c | 676.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 659.87$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.94 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 620.6$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.27 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d8d6backed Nate Landwehr | 47c | 618$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Nate Landwehr | 47c | 613.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Cub Swanson | 53c | 604.79$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Nate Landwehr | 47c | 576.86$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Nate Landwehr | 8c | 575.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Cub Swanson | 52c | 547.28$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Nate Landwehr | 47c | 516.89$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…60f0backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 513.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Cub Swanson | 44c | 508$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.77 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Nate Landwehr | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Nate Landwehr | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Cub Swanson | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Cub Swanson | 54c | 495.92$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cub Swanson | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Nate Landwehr | 20c | 485.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Cub Swanson win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.