TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,245,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,439,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,245,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf4a5…4dd9backed Yes0c124,475$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.73190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes1c69,111$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.51260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes1c68,933$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.16437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c55,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c50,706$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.3223319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes1c50,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+101.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Yes2c43,538$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes1c33,104$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.974613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes1c28,806$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.42316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c25,432$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.87521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b77…2eb0backed Yes2c25,000$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.3280%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes13c24,630$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.4520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-70.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c23,151$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.446142.6%26 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Yes2c21,430$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes8c20,053$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.0122546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes4c19,991$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.863525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes14c15,024$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes2c14,031$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.09128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-62.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes2c12,955$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.32190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes1c12,528$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4211412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c12,452$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.79440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eac…a5ffbacked Yes0c11,218$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56b…f9dcbacked Yes1c10,116$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c10,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes0c9,779$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.471618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x829f…3ed3backed Yes1c9,737$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5870%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c72…7af1backed Yes1c9,698$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0907…ea08backed Yes1c9,196$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes0c8,954$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4380%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bae…e81ebacked Yes2c8,857$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2130…bf69backed Yes1c8,778$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Yes2c7,959$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.21254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes0c7,600$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.841227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c7,583$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2514043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes1c7,275$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes1c7,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick3cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes1c6,703$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3370%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Yes2c6,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd728…b886backed Yes1c6,609$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes8c6,093$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.29382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3426…2f21backed Yes1c6,032$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c5,783$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52220%0 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…b825backed Yes2c5,739$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes2c5,680$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…cf43backed Yes9c5,300$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf2…8960backed Yes1c5,219$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b04…a7eabacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c4,970$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.292953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf02…f6dcbacked Yes1c4,863$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d9…2b99backed Yes1c4,849$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ca…4478backed Yes1c4,849$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c4,715$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.231168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a7…fbccbacked Yes1c4,689$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x396c…84c3backed Yes1c4,666$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054e…1482backed Yes1c4,666$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3014…dcddbacked Yes2c4,647$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa462…af63backed Yes1c4,643$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc73…6fd1backed Yes1c4,643$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9671…214bbacked Yes1c4,556$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x614b…4476backed Yes1c4,471$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85dd…62d4backed Yes4c4,460$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da7…e474backed Yes1c4,451$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…cfacbacked Yes1c4,451$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ed…977cbacked Yes1c4,407$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44e…ff09backed Yes1c4,389$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c9…36c3backed Yes1c4,384$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…026cbacked Yes1c4,371$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1634…a286backed Yes1c4,342$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c4…4cdcbacked Yes1c4,317$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0926…4624backed Yes0c4,286$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb126…78eabacked Yes2c4,206$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae0…2e91backed Yes1c4,181$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x130e…610cbacked Yes1c4,181$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc3…fcffbacked Yes1c4,009$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0d…e630backed Yes1c3,979$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64bf…8b5fbacked Yes1c3,833$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8971…0387backed Yes1c3,810$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec1…73c6backed Yes1c3,736$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64d…fd42backed Yes1c3,674$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…575bbacked Yes1c3,649$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0970%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes5c3,601$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid-36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…92bebacked Yes1c3,528$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa7…c57ebacked Yes1c3,519$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes2c3,448$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes1c3,350$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15350%0 W · 35 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089d…f731backed Yes1c3,346$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes1c3,116$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+75.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Yes6c3,100$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-87.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3401…e981backed Yes1c3,086$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes1c2,848$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.49442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d32…9756backed Yes1c2,729$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af2…f55fbacked Yes1c2,700$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa026…1155backed Yes1c2,671$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3850%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4602…c1c9backed Yes1c2,670$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0450%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Yes2c2,658$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba72…bcc1backed Yes3c2,598$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x984b…3260backed Yes1c2,585$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.