TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Patriots (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Patriotsof Patriots, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Dolphins51c1,560$795 inLost-$7958164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Patriots49c1,500$735 inWon+$76539242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Patriots56c1,290$724 inWon+$566.21,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dolphins43c973.74$419 inLost-$418.711,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dolphins47c840.6$391 inLost-$390.9875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Dolphins48c520.83$250 inLost-$2504734%16 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dolphins48c500$242 inLost-$24218745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Patriots53c499.86$265 inWon+$235.1913448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots55c483.15$267 inWon+$216.1347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed78…f62bbacked Patriots53c467.86$250 inWon+$217.862343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Patriots52c300$156 inWon+$14465048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Dolphins38c250$95 inLost-$9519240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Patriots52c200$104 inWon+$9659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Patriots62c98.71$61 inWon+$37.8650242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dolphins48c92.01$44 inLost-$44.1734652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Dolphins42c76.76$32 inLost-$32.248349.4%41 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Dolphins39c55.74$22 inLost-$21.7427633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Dolphins52c48.08$25 inLost-$255648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Patriots61c47.54$29 inWon+$18.543256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Dolphins38c44.25$17 inLost-$16.8119439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e08…15ebbacked Patriots62c32.84$20 inWon+$12.562181%17 W · 4 L+6.1wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+51%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dolphins44c30$13 inLost-$13.0534247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Dolphins45c27.27$12 inLost-$12.2712756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Dolphins48c21$10 inLost-$10.0830442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Patriots51c20$10 inWon+$9.814641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.