TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Under52c22,811$11,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,861.8419553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under55c10,654$5,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.378551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c6,156$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.750242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Over47c4,283$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c3,943$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.639447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c3,516$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.411,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c3,295$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.2453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c2,739$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.651,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c2,591$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.4756852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9912445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under51c2,498$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.9786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over46c2,307$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.7831450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c1,793$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.535848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7008056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Over46c1,085$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.783622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c999.96$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9865048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over45c828$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.419240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under55c817$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.3514641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41613959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over48c680$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3920238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.55939%23 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c543.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…007bbacked Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27519439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over45c499.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3627633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under53c433$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.494452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.46663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20814060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22018745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20820555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20817656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Under54c356.6$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.94540%18 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c302$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15616957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under54c241.91$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.385347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.811758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.811859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Over50c238.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.484746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under53c221.64$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.556246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under35c216.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2973651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Under53c210.45$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.546647%31 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337550.7%38 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Under16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over65c198.54$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.541020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid+54.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.612057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.611265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c171.61$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2353253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.210461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Under16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244920.4%10 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under50c145.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.983253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.89659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Over46c131$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.742462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.611856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under48c124.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.74944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Over50c122$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.415453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.46752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.410155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.46755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.412356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.410359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.49757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.415556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…dffcbacked Under54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204914.3%7 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under53c94.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.333148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over49c89.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0129439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.610964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.410761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed Over48c64.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.213357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29862.2%61 W · 37 L+11.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.