TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0609…b093backed No0c27,016$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.462020%4 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c7,442$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.426,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c2,624$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.492,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c2,300$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.9452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,397$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.681,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No43c1,355$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.831,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c1,263$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.592,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes55c902.13$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.761,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No71c877.84$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.2690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c822.81$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.4211232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes22c681.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8212532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8e…ef1abacked Yes26c654$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked No79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No26c581.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.325530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3552133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes29c458.59$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.620246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.781346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.786250%31 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No72c422$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8413565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No55c400$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No59c398.54$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c386$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No26c385.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No7c374$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7541344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes29c373.1$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.93941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe789…6a1cbacked No31c365.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No70c357.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.210246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.144341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No71c352.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6312060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8335428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No22c334.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2216634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Yes30c334.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.861533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c302.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed No66c300$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.71957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes28c282.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8445224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes22c277$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2111324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No71c250$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.514147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No52c237.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.816520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a3b…86bdbacked Yes29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b2…fb99backed Yes48c206.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No72c187.35$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8927454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442544%11 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.419451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No74c156.1$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4874156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10923220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8615534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes29c136.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6727227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes47c134.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked Yes72c133.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.742176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c127.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1336462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No78c126.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.833321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1b5…c986backed Yes22c107.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.832070%14 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+72.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c101.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.082,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Yes29c101$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.712259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787252.8%38 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c25…606ebacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No71c95.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0722658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Yes22c95.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.591656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No46c93.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x095f…c96ebacked Yes24c90$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No14c85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.816325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No71c84.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No70c80.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4815861.4%97 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes56c79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7611557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a1…89f9backed Yes28c78.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.576330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…4caabacked Yes28c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9731746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes41c68.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.689348.4%45 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d78…7defbacked No72c68.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No74c67.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes28c63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3611449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes26c62.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.419145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c0e…551ebacked No72c62.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fd…d003backed Yes29c62.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.071030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No71c55.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No70c55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.617464.9%113 W · 61 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No71c54.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.536142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No55c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5431747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.723256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd0b…955ebacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.520958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810338.8%40 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369460.6%57 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No71c48.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.614265.5%93 W · 49 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.814648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No70c36.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.914262.7%89 W · 53 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9579…86ebbacked Yes80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.