TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$707,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$693,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $707,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No53c233,865$123,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,406.985352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c111,324$52,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,322.352,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No53c60,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,999.9711149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes47c49,585$23,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,304.9321253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No54c44,341$23,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,396.725658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes46c44,191$20,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,327.683633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes48c40,018$19,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,308.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c35,900$15,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,385.812,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…5b61backed No52c28,890$15,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,733.96988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+63.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes46c27,279$12,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,548.561450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c24,634$7,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,445.816,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes47c22,543$10,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,496.321,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c20,445$9,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,698.232,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,40035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed No46c14,390$6,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,764.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No54c13,138$7,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,043.4710057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes48c12,542$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0009746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Yes0c12,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No54c11,779$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,418.2519239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed No53c11,116$5,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,210.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Yes46c10,900$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No54c9,213$4,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.839856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x409c…d891backed Yes14c6,750$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes47c6,750$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.3614544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No53c6,372$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.8113444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No54c5,741$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.744742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No54c5,656$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.762544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No53c5,094$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.346567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.8845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No54c4,759$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.256142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed No53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No54c4,200$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes47c4,002$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.9412454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed No53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No53c4,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.9624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes15c3,817$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.852650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No53c3,800$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7861266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes47c3,300$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5514560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes47c3,218$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.282842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No54c3,000$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.968343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x152d…5d84backed Yes46c2,978$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes47c2,844$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.221049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes47c2,584$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.5285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes15c2,389$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c2,332$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.884,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No55c2,265$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.0534428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0341844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes50c2,194$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No51c2,000$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.57357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9207047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9404643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes47c1,950$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.6179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes48c1,950$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.4910743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes71c1,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06519729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6906829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes48c1,310$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.892548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes8c1,231$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0422040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Yes18c1,098$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.392157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b4…827fbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No61c1,065$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Yes47c1,060$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes49c1,029$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6706066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes46c999.95$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.987844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No54c980.04$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.3120246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42310246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4149042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No33c827.6$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.496240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes47c822.81$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7211232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38421656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38410545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf823…2b46backed Yes46c790$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e2…787cbacked No55c770$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c763.57$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.361,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Yes66c750$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+73.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes46c741$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…ca5fbacked No55c740$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes46c734.04$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6614138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc6…a7c8backed Yes46c720$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6442…aa08backed No55c717.36$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes59c648.29$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.798062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes47c647.55$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.252462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes47c599.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9930050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes47c599.97$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes48c583.33$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x226e…86ecbacked No51c580$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+52.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a1e…f10abacked Yes18c563.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.