TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$608,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$690,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No60c182,427$108,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,743.775352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c81,046$36,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,882.792,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No60c50,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00035941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes40c49,556$19,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,733.6119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes40c25,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,10035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No60c23,906$14,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,322.2116651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c18,762$10,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,970.32,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes36c14,187$5,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,079.537750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No59c13,564$8,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,002.7310057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc2b…4564backed No58c12,547$7,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,244.58850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8e…c91bbacked Yes72c12,124$8,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes41c10,959$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,493.322,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c10,920$4,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,382.441,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes41c9,756$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,756.17028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c8,583$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.291,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No60c7,479$4,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,487.113444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd94c…38b8backed Yes45c7,063$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,885.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c6,438$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes40c6,323$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.81540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No59c5,456$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.213548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No58c4,977$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.74643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c4,783$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No60c4,759$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.414845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes40c4,545$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.8746651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes40c3,751$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.356240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No59c3,600$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.2811346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes68c3,501$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.325862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.978343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No32c2,868$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes43c2,558$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.1415757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x039b…7007backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.02825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No59c2,187$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.127448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes40c2,172$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.4549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No58c2,100$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2187853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes40c2,055$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.0879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes41c2,050$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1804050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.964862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes41c1,972$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.51,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes41c1,831$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.231338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ef…da18backed No56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.051060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes40c1,719$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.867557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No58c1,600$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes41c1,238$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.89042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes69c1,219$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.012040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No27c1,203$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33014463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6968348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes39c1,200$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72719735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.486543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe63e…525abacked Yes42c1,100$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+146.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe66b…a324backed Yes42c1,026$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+125.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes43c999.99$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56512042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No58c999.89$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9426651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Yes80c995$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No57c989.96$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.289358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes75c974.32$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.785759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes44c880$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.1124146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No10c853.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes42c800$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46325648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes41c725.2$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.874755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f58…6f3cbacked Yes42c711.9$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes39c681.31$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.65655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No22c664.13$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5516634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes40c658.13$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.881,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes69c643.14$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.371560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37512060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No28c618.78$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.269929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8e…ef1abacked No48c588$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No60c567.93$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7621049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes42c554.17$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4210426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes42c551.08$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1422534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes42c549$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes32c536$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes40c525.78$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes39c512.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.639446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No12c510$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.15232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f82…d715backed Yes39c509.69$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2957131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…940bbacked No58c499.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes41c499.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9713641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Yes42c478.57$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.199134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c455$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes46c432.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.957846.2%36 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes42c427.33$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.857229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No19c411.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4910044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No68c408.25$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6128070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x35fe…20a0backed Yes40c394.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e6…11afbacked Yes45c370.26$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.261952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes41c370$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.323531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes45c369.94$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.