NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a99fbc5f5d43816d11e1860729044fa44ae40a88ec3539194930c6a5ec90b03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $642,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $642,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Lightning | 50c | 300,514$149,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,515.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 50c | 192,681$96,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,340.65 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Kings | 53c | 82,743$43,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,578.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Kings | 52c | 49,164$25,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,363.19 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 52c | 30,943$16,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,139.37 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 50c | 25,573$12,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,786.31 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 47c | 24,432$11,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,884.93 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 50c | 24,050$12,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,059.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lightning | 47c | 21,200$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,236 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 51c | 18,603$9,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,573.75 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Lightning | 48c | 17,033$8,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,856.93 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 57c | 11,741$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.59 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Lightning | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lightning | 48c | 9,765$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.8 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kings | 52c | 7,533$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 55c | 5,717$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.5 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 34c | 5,633$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lightning | 46c | 5,555$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.7 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Lightning | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lightning | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 45c | 4,994$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.74 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Kings | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Lightning | 48c | 4,355$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.6 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Kings | 52c | 4,249$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.23 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 27c | 4,196$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Lightning | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 45c | 3,868$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.49 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 47c | 3,643$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.94 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Lightning | 55c | 3,468$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.4 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lightning | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 46c | 2,825$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.42 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kings | 50c | 2,795$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.5 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 48c | 2,540$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.51 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Kings | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 50c | 2,442$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.83 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 55c | 2,217$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.16 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 51c | 2,200$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.95 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Lightning | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Lightning | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Lightning | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Lightning | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kings | 42c | 1,944$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.49 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 74c | 1,898$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.2 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Kings | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…573cbacked Kings | 54c | 1,875$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…eebabacked Lightning | 46c | 1,861$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 52c | 1,782$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.5 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lightning | 48c | 1,723$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.2 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lightning | 47c | 1,547$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.91 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Lightning | 26c | 1,518$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.66 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Lightning | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Lightning | 18c | 1,475$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 50c | 1,446$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Lightning | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Lightning | 50c | 1,234$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.65 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Kings | 52c | 1,052$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.04 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 72c | 1,015$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.8 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 36c | 1,003$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.73 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Lightning | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Lightning | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…b265backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Lightning | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Kings | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Lightning | 48c | 990.11$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.41 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 50c | 969.9$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 46c | 923.93$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.92 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 61c | 865$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.88 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings | 7c | 833.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Kings | 50c | 824.31$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.16 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Lightning | 39c | 764.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.57 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Lightning | 48c | 698.95$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.05 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Kings | 77c | 669.01$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.14 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Kings | 52c | 662.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…56b6backed Kings | 2c | 662.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Lightning | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lightning | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kings | 52c | 605.77$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Lightning | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.05 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5866…b045backed Kings | 54c | 592.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f1…0e04backed Kings | 54c | 592$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kings | 51c | 588.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Lightning | 32c | 571.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.03 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Lightning | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lightning | 46c | 549$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.46 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…0de5backed Kings | 54c | 546$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ce36backed Kings | 52c | 526.38$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b371backed Kings | 54c | 510.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Kings | 52c | 500.01$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings | 40c | 496$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 55c | 495.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.31 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Lightning | 49c | 491.53$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Kingsthis page
- Lightning vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.