TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dfb…f9c7backed Yes0c49,242$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c24,420$11,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,945.892,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c11,825$7,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,613.0668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes39c11,350$4,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4352035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c7,581$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.191,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c7,088$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c4,264$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.9596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c3,411$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.8648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes65c2,591$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.25650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No25c2,425$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.061250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked No62c2,407$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.832240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2802227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes39c1,776$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.8311153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes39c1,696$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.5710038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes39c1,661$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes39c1,538$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes39c1,529$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No29c1,380$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.283432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Yes39c1,367$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5332240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes60c1,182$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.084959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes37c1,109$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.183727%10 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No13c1,049$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.7634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c999.95$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No61c999.93$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9712657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes4c955.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes25c884.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No60c867.56$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.027055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No61c840.04$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No20c830.38$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.311772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.453641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2663641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes9c700$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes7c693.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5211529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No15c667$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5679046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes64c637$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.682560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2285530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes64c514.23$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.322237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No61c498.43$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.469556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes51c485.48$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.311323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes18c450.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.167231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes38c427.05$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No61c419.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.818459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No62c406.37$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.425764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No60c405.16$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6615045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c400$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3497226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7413137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes72c386.3$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.468169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes38c370$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.66350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…23afbacked Yes6c356.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes39c343.51$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.971520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes38c328.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7321445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No69c317.09$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0411546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No70c313.51$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No32c312.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.663540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001850%9 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11426046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1174557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked No31c270$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.32944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c264.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3112929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes10c240.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe513…3328backed Yes68c230.74$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c230.05$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No61c220.93$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.44656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…1332backed Yes40c208.82$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…cd0ebacked No62c208.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…9cf5backed Yes39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No62c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked Yes38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.993735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked No62c199.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9a…796cbacked Yes65c199.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes37c199.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.124744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3a…feb6backed Yes39c189.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c179.89$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.311454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.298042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No64c155.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0324849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes38c150.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.342045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No61c149.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.996048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No61c148.8$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.039447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes29c140.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5817529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed No37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes78c128.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.815459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d70…d5f5backed Yes39c118$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f2…7f2ebacked No61c114$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…f54fbacked No62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked Yes19c106.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes39c105.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.