Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b05a0d58fa2cc1ed886b501de1dbc858383165fc055f14f5e4773bb0447ad4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 71c | 19,512$13,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.34 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 19,235$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 10,925$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 72c | 9,195$6,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 7,669$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.1 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 9c | 5,987$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.68 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 4,196$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 3,961$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.21 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 29c | 2,759$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes | 1c | 2,691$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 3c | 2,632$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 3c | 2,271$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 71c | 2,138$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.44 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 30c | 1,840$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,573$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 29c | 1,486$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 1,478$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,046$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 20c | 1,040$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 1,031$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.61 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,003$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 70c | 899.94$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 3c | 624.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 3c | 596.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 29c | 549.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 528.06$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 7c | 496.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 5c | 400.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 399.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 395$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked No | 69c | 345.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Yes | 30c | 344.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Yes | 24c | 343.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Yes | 3c | 333.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…92e3backed Yes | 4c | 310.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 71c | 308.48$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 286.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 22c | 263.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 29c | 262.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 12c | 241.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 71c | 228$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…9f0ebacked Yes | 6c | 219.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 29c | 191.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 157.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 18c | 140$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 134.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 23c | 134$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 130.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 14c | 125.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 18c | 123.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 29c | 111.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…f543backed Yes | 20c | 105.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 100.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Yes | 23c | 95.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 89.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…4892backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…cf19backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b53…a717backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 29c | 64.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 28c | 60.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 30c | 57.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 69c | 56.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…9b1cbacked No | 71c | 52.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…51d9backed Yes | 29c | 52.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-08?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.