TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dfb…f9c7backed No0c57,330$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c13,785$10,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,051.782,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c12,928$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,626.7527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes33c11,350$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,619.852035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No74c6,920$5,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,153.8911153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c5,602$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.1268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes16c4,099$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.095933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes74c3,883$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.851,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No13c3,602$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5424238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes33c3,401$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.843650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes12c3,332$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.362924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c3,073$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.2696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes33c2,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes80c2,128$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3409556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No69c1,853$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.631258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No68c1,740$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.9314142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,573$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.5498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No67c1,433$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.7422947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Yes79c1,257$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.454656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c980.26$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3722373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No69c956$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.6448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c932.19$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No68c914.2$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.668058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c844.79$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.5934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5db…218ebacked No68c760.29$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cf3…6052backed No68c748.53$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No26c714.28$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c659$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f57…7298backed No68c654.41$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Yes80c626.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No61c609$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4911964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No13c579.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3407830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Yes33c484.85$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.851225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No12c476.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0311529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c473$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9129862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked No68c462.69$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.631060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No47c454$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9814549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No66c431.73$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.944658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes27c428.91$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1720431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No67c419.62$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.1545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes11c400$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3562218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No69c347.83$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked No68c326.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.72240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c313.17$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8226046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Yes18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20113040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20723353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No31c292.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6812929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No20c292.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c288.94$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9911667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No24c279.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2915045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No67c270$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.96048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1caa…9573backed No68c261.76$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bce…de25backed No68c257.35$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.57544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No69c225$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.251662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes33c221.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.464825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No26c219$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4332843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.391346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes33c212.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.126428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.53850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No69c209.68$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6814249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed No55c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No67c199.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9921445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes22c199.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9912052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes38c190.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1411546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes21c186.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.962254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes11c182.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3810736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5595…12a8backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92ab…0611backed No68c145.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes25c141.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.26323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…269fbacked No68c135.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No67c133.31$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3216448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes10c131.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.627753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92f8…bc77backed No68c127.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x406e…0d29backed No68c127.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fec…60b3backed No68c119.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6526744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd8…9f0ebacked Yes16c117.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+208.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x610a…3528backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+69.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes24c109.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.221540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No33c105.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3717529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe360…7d01backed No68c104.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.259037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes59c93.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8536852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2316…b824backed Yes33c92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+148.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes80c91.31$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No68c90$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes73c89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.347544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1659…c4bcbacked Yes33c84.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.336136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes33c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.37439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe89…d978backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.