NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2a802b9ccec09df5a38cc556365fb62f3291818719dec99de8f51e61d7d8382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 48c | 490,872$234,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,439.65 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans | 52c | 198,618$103,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,281.14 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans | 52c | 150,000$78,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 52c | 61,623$31,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,981.34 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 53c | 48,374$25,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,638.05 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Pelicans | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pelicans | 53c | 11,998$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,358.87 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 14c | 8,307$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,144.14 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 53c | 7,444$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Lakers | 47c | 6,166$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.91 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 5,476$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6905…e3c2backed Lakers | 47c | 5,268$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 37c | 5,148$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Lakers | 47c | 5,077$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.6 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Lakers | 47c | 4,677$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.6 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 46c | 4,034$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…860cbacked Lakers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Lakers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3cccbacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…a5d8backed Pelicans | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Lakers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…c39bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…3ba8backed Lakers | 48c | 3,980$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…4fabbacked Pelicans | 52c | 3,980$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeeb…135abacked Lakers | 47c | 3,474$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Lakers | 47c | 3,035$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.55 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,973$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.15 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,502$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,170$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.21 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Lakers | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,950$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.19 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,895$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.13 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f422backed Lakers | 47c | 1,730$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,655$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.63 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Lakers | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Lakers | 64c | 1,320$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.51 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,246$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.56 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Lakers | 28c | 1,073$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.79 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Pelicans | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Pelicans | 55c | 916.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Lakers | 55c | 905.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.16 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Lakers | 52c | 581.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.66 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pelicans | 54c | 552.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Pelicans | 41c | 516.46$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 38c | 458.72$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Lakers | 48c | 416.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 51c | 268.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Pelicans | 50c | 244.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Pelicans | 80c | 236$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pelicans | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Lakers | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 46c | 190.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pelicans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Pelicans | 55c | 181.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Pelicans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Pelicans | 56c | 178.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 52c | 176.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Pelicans | 59c | 174.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Pelicans | 48c | 164.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 50c | 163.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Lakers | 45c | 161.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Pelicans | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Pelicans | 55c | 146.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Lakers | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lakers | 48c | 141.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Pelicans | 16c | 133.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 49c | 130.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Lakers | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Lakers | 50c | 120.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…6d7dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 97.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Pelicans | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pelicans | 43c | 90.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Pelicans | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Pelicans | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Pelicans | 56c | 89.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…b2c7backed Pelicans | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Pelicans | 52c | 87.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Pelicans | 71c | 83.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…58cbbacked Lakers | 50c | 81.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 80.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pelicans | 53c | 80.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Lakers | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lakers | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Lakers | 49c | 69.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Lakers | 54c | 64.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Pelicans | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pelicans | 54c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Pelicans | 55c | 57.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Pelicans | 55c | 55.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Lakers | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Lakers | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Lakers vs. PelicansLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.