TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c11,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Under50c9,980$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9905444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c8,870$4,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,435.292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c8,782$4,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,423.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c7,477$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.182,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be7…4690backed Under49c6,963$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ec…57d6backed Over51c6,853$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9df…70f1backed Over51c6,652$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dab…3cc4backed Under49c6,542$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over52c6,504$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.623747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under48c5,018$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.211,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Over50c4,400$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under51c4,327$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.4146145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under47c3,962$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.711,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Under62c2,784$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.0716848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c2,319$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.682,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c2,215$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.533,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.6165339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c1,446$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,207$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.82,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over50c1,029$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under52c1,004$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.7447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under50c995.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.147365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c901.06$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over49c850.8$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9323850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under51c668$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3254747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c489.52$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.122,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under52c460$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1640243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under51c383$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over50c333$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.54553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c289.78$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.791,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over53c190.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over51c189.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9016945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over50c176.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7176250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c152.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.933,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Over53c150.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.796943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c115$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.052,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under51c114.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2187950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under65c107.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.349458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0419150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over51c102.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0416657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0417545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0452242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa014…00c8backed Under48c95.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over49c94.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9211348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x330e…c22abacked Under50c76.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.224454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over30c59.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under48c58.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3220355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8a…4de3backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed Over51c55.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.515457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over50c45.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7239756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc212…18b9backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828737.9%33 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under51c39.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1921352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under49c30.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.581,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a0…1baebacked Under51c29.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Over50c23.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.934141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8723047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.