NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb77f5a2c9b30edff6649ac0de2a829ab4df0b824c42d3e35a0b4944360fc39ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 51c | 218,275$111,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,967.37 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 49c | 163,345$80,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,542.56 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 61,500$30,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,134.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Lakers | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Pelicans | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 50c | 40,187$19,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,292.8 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pelicans | 52c | 40,000$20,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,599.98 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 20,338$10,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,158.92 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…40fabacked Lakers | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…fe25backed Lakers | 51c | 16,636$8,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,117.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 51c | 15,462$7,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,879.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lakers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Lakers | 51c | 14,325$7,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.37 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 48c | 14,124$6,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 51c | 13,770$7,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,022.89 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Pelicans | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Pelicans | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 48c | 9,812$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 51c | 7,238$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 49c | 7,165$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Lakers | 51c | 6,961$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.78 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 6,952$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.51 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 48c | 6,613$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.07 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.97 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pelicans | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Lakers | 51c | 4,490$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.2 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,335$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Pelicans | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 51c | 2,967$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.06 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,794$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.73 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,535$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pelicans | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…9d67backed Lakers | 50c | 2,196$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Lakers | 49c | 2,171$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Lakers | 53c | 2,155$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…7a4ebacked Lakers | 51c | 2,066$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,876$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,860$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.38 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,549$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.14 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,529$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.41 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Pelicans | 79c | 1,480$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans | 56c | 1,436$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,310$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.9 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Lakers | 51c | 1,114$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.73 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.15 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 48c | 1,043$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Lakers | 50c | 813.79$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Lakers | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Lakers | 49c | 706.43$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.78 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lakers | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 48c | 600$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.15 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Pelicans | 53c | 595.3$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.51 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Lakers | 50c | 594.52$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.26 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Pelicans | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 49c | 571.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.27 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers | 50c | 511.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.93 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Pelicans | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Lakers | 51c | 492.53$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Lakers | 49c | 475.69$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 48c | 474.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Lakers | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pelicans | 48c | 394$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Lakers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Lakers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Lakers | 49c | 389$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…b48bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 388.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Lakers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…a86fbacked Lakers | 49c | 382$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…de9cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 382$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans | 49c | 380.69$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Lakers | 49c | 378.79$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 33c | 371.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Pelicans | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Pelicans | 30c | 334.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 317.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers | 52c | 306.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Lakers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Lakers | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Lakers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…2731backed Pelicans | 49c | 292.69$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Lakers | 42c | 286.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Lakers | 49c | 270.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4026…c3debacked Lakers | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Lakers vs. PelicansLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.