NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bcab4cea2f07c1b4c78230095e650c196003f4a42a8f546047eb028de7b7916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 54c | 11,000$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.08 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 51c | 4,704$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.08 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 51c | 3,459$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,226$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,383$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 1,194$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 39c | 614$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Under | 48c | 531$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 47c | 507$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 53c | 445$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 39c | 401.46$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 367.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 305.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Over | 58c | 276$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 54c | 275.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 275.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 271$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…66dbbacked Over | 51c | 119$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Over | 58c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 59c | 95.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 59c | 93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 60c | 82.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 43c | 78.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4545…771fbacked Under | 39c | 63.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…fc1abacked Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 29c | 60.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 51c | 57.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…4519backed Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 51.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 39c | 46.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Under | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Under | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Under | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Under | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 24.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 20.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Lakers vs. PelicansLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.