NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73857f2796ce5e0dbc81b2a53c271cf17eba8c059a2c350b1a0cece250e5471d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 51c | 22,792$11,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,664.05 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 51c | 10,256$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.96 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 7,230$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.32 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 6,261$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.75 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,590$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,713$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 2,557$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 52c | 2,278$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.55 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,019$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 655$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 551.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 43c | 534.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.76 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 49c | 517$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 513$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 490$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 261.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 11c | 255.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Under | 45c | 222.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…2b47backed Over | 54c | 129$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Under | 47c | 106.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 101.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 53c | 101$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 88.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 85.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…4130backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…6843backed Under | 44c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…4c78backed Under | 45c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 49c | 57.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 49c | 54.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…728ebacked Under | 44c | 39.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 53c | 36.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Under | 44c | 35.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedf…8817backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Lakers vs. PelicansLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.