NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9952face1dcf0c179f35d59e5e8d6a4d527faf96a792c28f6b60fee36f28fca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Lakers | 53c | 7,329$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.18 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 45c | 4,326$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 47c | 3,737$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,435$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.92 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 53c | 2,419$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.92 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,900$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Lakers | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,765$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,217$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.13 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,003$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Lakers | 54c | 694.44$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.44 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Lakers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Lakers | 55c | 499.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.97 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 54c | 464.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Lakers | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Lakers | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Lakers | 52c | 311.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Lakers | 52c | 289.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans | 45c | 249.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 45c | 205.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 43c | 198.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Lakers | 56c | 185.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…aa17backed Lakers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Pelicans | 26c | 172.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Lakers | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Lakers | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Lakers | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 77c | 142.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Lakers | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Lakers | 56c | 116.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…d01ebacked Lakers | 56c | 114.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Lakers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Lakers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Lakers | 56c | 89.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Lakers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b69…c932backed Lakers | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Lakers | 56c | 86.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Lakers | 56c | 86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Pelicans | 45c | 85.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lakers | 56c | 83.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…82fcbacked Lakers | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…1df8backed Pelicans | 61c | 64.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Lakers | 56c | 59.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Pelicans | 45c | 57.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Lakers | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed Pelicans | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Lakers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Pelicans | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Lakers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…edffbacked Lakers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Lakers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Pelicans | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lakers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Pelicans | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Lakers | 33c | 35.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Lakers | 56c | 35.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Pelicans | 45c | 35.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Lakers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Lakers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Lakers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked Lakers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 54c | 35.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Pelicans | 44c | 34.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Pelicans | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers | 43c | 32.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Pelicans | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Pelicans | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Lakers | 50c | 30.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 45c | 28.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Pelicans | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Lakers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…8059backed Lakers | 40c | 26.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Lakers | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Pelicans | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Pelicans | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Pelicans | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 54c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 54c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Lakers | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…2e92backed Lakers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Lakers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Lakers vs. PelicansLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.