TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0352…3292backed Lakers53c7,329$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.1810158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans45c4,326$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans47c3,737$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7591,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Lakers47c2,435$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9216335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers53c2,419$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.922,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans46c1,900$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.992,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Lakers56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7127158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans47c1,765$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.83,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans48c1,217$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.132,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans54c1,003$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.153,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Lakers54c694.44$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.4424847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Lakers57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.325556.4%31 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Lakers55c499.94$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9712054.2%65 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lakers54c464.93$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.872,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Lakers56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.436659.1%39 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Lakers54c407.41$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4123058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Lakers52c311.54$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5429046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Lakers52c289.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans45c249.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4885147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans45c205.81$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Lakers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans43c198.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Lakers56c185.61$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.613360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5d…aa17backed Lakers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Pelicans26c172.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.820837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed Lakers55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.642272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Lakers43c160$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.220434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Lakers51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.45345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers77c142.87$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.252,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Lakers56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.862857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Lakers56c116.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2210948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd232…d01ebacked Lakers56c114.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.181040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0729…0fa3backed Lakers43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Lakers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4519254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Lakers56c89.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.553250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Lakers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Lakers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2961056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b69…c932backed Lakers56c88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b2…089abacked Lakers56c86.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.119340.9%38 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Lakers56c86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.848355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Pelicans45c85.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.626454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Lakers56c83.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.931,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…82fcbacked Lakers56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9645…1df8backed Pelicans61c64.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf46…a799backed Lakers56c59.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.311151.4%57 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Pelicans45c57.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9152246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers56c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.270153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Pelicans48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Lakers56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222969%20 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64f7…5bd7backed Pelicans57c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56540%26 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Lakers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers50c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.313,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Pelicans47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf47…4d00backed Lakers53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bf…edffbacked Lakers52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Lakers52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Pelicans44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.724755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Lakers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3631748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Pelicans49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.643834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Lakers33c35.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1245542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58f…51d6backed Lakers56c35.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8527248.5%132 W · 140 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Pelicans45c35.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.276451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5803backed Lakers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4470…7351backed Lakers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed Lakers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1760…c4edbacked Lakers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans54c35.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.951,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Pelicans44c34.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1119242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Pelicans49c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.172857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers43c32.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked Pelicans49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.193452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Pelicans49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Lakers50c30.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0450648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers45c28.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Pelicans44c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.323650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Lakers55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2718757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0848…8059backed Lakers40c26.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.831030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Lakers43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251080%8 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Pelicans43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Pelicans43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3215352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Pelicans43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3215854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers54c21.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.773,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers54c20.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.552,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Lakers53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.752352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Lakers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x364c…2e92backed Lakers53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Lakers56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.