Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92a07202933c7bb4ffd76d8e4e386d929fb0cdbb667941c4746a59ccd6f93093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 67c | 100,220$67,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,280.07 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 33c | 40,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,800 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 36,493$13,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,739.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked No | 36c | 27,495$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,495.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 55c | 19,537$10,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,826.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 9,117$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 6,329$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.56 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 67c | 4,049$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.07 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 20c | 3,948$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.25 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 40c | 3,562$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.08 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 59c | 2,638$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 63c | 2,605$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.55 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 35c | 2,286$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.71 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Yes | 65c | 2,260$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 34c | 2,052$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.47 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.89 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 34c | 1,982$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.88 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…d9f5backed Yes | 60c | 1,672$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Yes | 66c | 1,576$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed No | 34c | 1,574$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 1,548$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.16 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 1,452$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.48 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 21c | 1,397$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.44 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 18c | 1,388$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.27 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…6d51backed Yes | 67c | 1,333$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 79c | 1,309$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.69 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 44c | 1,230$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 1,077$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.36 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 42c | 1,037$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 70c | 1,005$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 33c | 920.36$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.41 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 67c | 893.94$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed No | 17c | 863.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +225.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 21c | 861.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2dcebacked Yes | 67c | 858.1$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…5804backed Yes | 62c | 800$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 34c | 779$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes | 65c | 760$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 65c | 689.46$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.15 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 682.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.82 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 66c | 681.79$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…bef1backed Yes | 67c | 600.48$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 66c | 600.01$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.98 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 32c | 595.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 17c | 572.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 36c | 571$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.44 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes | 65c | 499.96$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 64c | 477.39$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 66c | 460.34$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 66c | 454.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…38cdbacked Yes | 65c | 440.29$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 67c | 435.13$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 43c | 392$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.39 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 68c | 369.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 66c | 360$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 74c | 351.41$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.94 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…3ea9backed Yes | 67c | 337.1$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 62c | 324.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 66c | 320$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…7b4ebacked No | 16c | 318.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +311.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 34c | 316.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 23c | 299.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 68c | 294.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…852abacked Yes | 66c | 280.3$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 269.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 65c | 255.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 54c | 248.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 17c | 234.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 21c | 233.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yes | 57c | 222.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…44e0backed Yes | 57c | 221.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 57c | 217$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 66c | 211.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 69c | 209.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 44c | 202$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 11c | 179.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…3695backed Yes | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked No | 34c | 170$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…71bcbacked Yes | 19c | 157.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 65c | 154.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.