Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f81c3a382ac4c01416fff27173a0283e602007bbb383f87b6dea89095e0731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 11c | 5,854$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 3,622$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 8c | 2,640$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 1,889$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.26 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 20c | 1,874$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.58 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 21c | 1,733$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,210$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.29 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…5804backed Yes | 26c | 1,163$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,116$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.48 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 73c | 1,070$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.09 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 871$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.9 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 374$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…c123backed Yes | 79c | 351.47$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 73c | 319.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 23c | 318.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.46 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 310.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 216$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…0871backed Yes | 77c | 193.03$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 21c | 190.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 15c | 185.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 167$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 16c | 111.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 14c | 107.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 23c | 106.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 16c | 104.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 20c | 100.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 11c | 96.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed No | 77c | 78.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 18c | 77.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 75.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 22c | 74.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 76c | 74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 70.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 69.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Yes | 25c | 63.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 22c | 54.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Yes | 77c | 49.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 48.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed No | 73c | 44.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…6bb5backed No | 70c | 44.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…a993backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 77c | 34.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 27.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc048…5a6bbacked No | 77c | 25.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 77c | 24.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-02?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.