NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04449eec3c973143a5cd64ec036d62676eb195c1b851b159ef73a47aa962775b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $762,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $762,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flyers | 52c | 514,580$267,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267,581.62 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 500,000$240,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260,000 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Flyers | 53c | 77,006$40,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,813.18 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 27,154$12,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,391.72 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Flyers | 52c | 14,603$7,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,593.38 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 9,406$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 52c | 9,377$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.95 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 8,526$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 8,422$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.5 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 76c | 8,285$6,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,290.87 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers | 52c | 8,081$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.31 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 7,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,914$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.28 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 6,495$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.35 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 6,412$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.16 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Flyers | 54c | 5,926$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,293$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.31 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 4,962$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.64 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Flyers | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Flyers | 53c | 3,687$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 29c | 3,384$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 79c | 3,240$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.71 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,952$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.6 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 2,950$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Flyers | 79c | 2,534$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…1d6ebacked Flyers | 56c | 2,511$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flyers | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Flyers | 52c | 2,079$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.24 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,069$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.54 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,049$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…e753backed Flyers | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 1,895$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.99 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…fa27backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,695$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.78 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,547$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.28 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,540$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,488$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.64 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Flyers | 53c | 1,455$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,268$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,166$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.14 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 1,006$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.54 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 53c | 967.79$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.93 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 959.06$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.3 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Flyers | 3c | 950$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 910.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 909.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.05 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flyers | 15c | 833$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Flyers | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…953dbacked Flyers | 54c | 710$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 691.71$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.83 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…0178backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 680$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 664$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.09 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…3203backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 630$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 629.64$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.95 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Flyers | 74c | 621.04$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.57 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Flyers | 53c | 600.66$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…787cbacked Flyers | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 572.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 555.65$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.88 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 53c | 555$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Flyers | 71c | 545.07$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 529.72$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 528$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.28 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 502.13$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092d…d44cbacked Flyers | 63c | 490.54$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.95 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 484.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…afbbbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Maple Leafs | 24c | 459$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 56c | 446$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 443.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.15 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 430.4$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.42 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…5c8dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Maple Leafs | 24c | 423.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 419.17$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Flyersthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.