TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed No18c15,756$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,919.973450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5b4…9785backed Yes38c8,471$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,247.721250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c7,648$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c5,724$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.836,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c4,338$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.894,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes62c4,003$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes2c3,609$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.253935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No28c3,583$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.249246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.5834628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No23c2,609$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.6419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No22c2,456$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.6510236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No20c2,028$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.646046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No58c2,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes2c1,803$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.574425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005717.5%10 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed No20c1,511$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.87237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No22c1,309$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.121,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bc…b707backed Yes52c1,247$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.952450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes78c1,194$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.341,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a4…06c2backed Yes80c1,100$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed No22c963.58$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.594932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes44c951.84$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.714548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No19c869.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.649929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes58c851.36$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No55c718.97$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6858445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked No20c625$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes42c595.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.714146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes42c534.14$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.345358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes75c530.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No19c528.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.9742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Yes42c523.81$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked No60c501.5$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.213841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3509843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No18c499.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9915347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce77…75d7backed Yes42c471.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed No63c450.64$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.476741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2017…f4babacked Yes4c450$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Yes65c443.44$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2510051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes79c433.83$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.352,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No19c390.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5712048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yes79c384.57$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.062429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes52c383.17$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.752123.8%5 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No19c374.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.754052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No62c354.76$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No19c354$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7423353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Yes43c352.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Yes79c305.59$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.421464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24361441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Yes80c296.25$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2371163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No51c294.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5818251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes53c275.28$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes37c273.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10121143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes79c253.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207030%21 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014550.3%73 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa18…6dd1backed Yes42c247.29$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae3…493abacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No60c228.08$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes47c211.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15822448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed No20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16010539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.997635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No72c182.19$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.227740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4970…13d6backed Yes15c176.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No19c161$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.225442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.895334%18 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f68…de7fbacked Yes42c154.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12029343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12018646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No20c149.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.333124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No30c147.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.341,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes78c145.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.84621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c4f…bd86backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No17c131.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0217053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes80c127$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.63655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed No20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004951%25 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No20c120$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes42c119.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No22c116.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.861,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes78c114.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2974156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Yes78c112.82$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes73c109.46$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012162.8%76 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No17c105$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.315452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8129158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Yes72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed No19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5778…86c0backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Yes42c90.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.07119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-79.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f6…72a6backed Yes78c89.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes75c87.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1637840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.