Premier League · resolved market
Will Macclesfield FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b63f176a2dccd6c487acca9e71bdc28254c0c3a386b1c395cc9db131c0d75c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 23c | 8,000$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.37 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 4,702$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 4,323$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.82 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 33c | 1,339$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.26 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,228$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 8c | 1,073$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 12c | 890.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 68c | 767.42$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.58 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…75d7backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 490$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 73c | 433.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 24c | 418.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 79c | 372.58$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…5d42backed Yes | 20c | 267.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 13c | 228$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 19c | 210.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 17c | 149.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 13c | 128.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 12c | 127.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 70c | 119.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 78c | 119$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 13c | 111.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 18c | 64.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 34c | 61.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 50.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…e37abacked Yes | 32c | 35.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 80c | 33.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e0f5backed No | 77c | 25.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Macclesfield FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.