TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5b4…9785backed No44c48,516$21,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,392.931250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c30,956$7,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,089.474,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c14,063$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,547.521,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes6c8,137$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,620.537945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x760e…bcfebacked No0c6,927$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes78c6,500$5,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4304161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No4c5,401$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.27110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6218…f388backed Yes32c5,179$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No60c4,832$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.3234628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes71c3,996$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.736325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes67c3,803$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.7896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes79c2,465$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.555646.4%26 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes28c2,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No44c1,932$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.1210051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c1,574$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.481305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes44c1,092$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.1958445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c973.38$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.392,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes71c962$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2813842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes9c914.43$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.815635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No17c815.18$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.494052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes78c812.95$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8510130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No27c693.74$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8520931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No73c664.68$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.227436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes8c650.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.122125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes6c645.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.6460728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes77c598.98$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.983046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac1…1316backed Yes77c589.69$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.32366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes78c531.16$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.777170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcaf…9343backed Yes75c523.08$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.77520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes7c500$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4654139%16 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes36c499.99$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32113841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No41c462.01$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1228654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes30c430.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.418251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed Yes7c418.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed No76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No7c387.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6639052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes80c375.69$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes6c375.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.519929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c357.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.831,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed No71c353.89$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.913762.2%23 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes80c331.76$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3519654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked No76c328.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa451…b40dbacked Yes7c328.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+739.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes7c290$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.736845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes8c251.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0510820.4%22 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa111…0c79backed Yes75c219.8$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes7c214.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+614.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec7…12a6backed No71c199.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c198.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.536,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes77c197.87$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6755…d3cfbacked Yes26c192.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…8d1bbacked No15c186.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f5b…1008backed Yes52c183.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.291827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Yes78c176.72$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes29c171.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.316933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes49c151.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0224340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes74c142.86$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.862737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac9…7f8bbacked Yes7c137.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,272.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013346.6%62 W · 71 L-15.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No75c133.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e42…8f95backed No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes73c130$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.928246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked No13c128.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.76440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes58c120.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No12c117.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1517549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes29c113.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.973145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…6a86backed No25c108.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.661450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ef48backed No73c102.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55058%29 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ae…7676backed No26c94.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes43c93.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Yes27c89.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.891450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Yes37c89.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.342552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad0…e7c3backed Yes33c87.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1e…c5e3backed Yes29c86.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No73c84.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.516053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No77c83.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4919460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes39c77.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.436563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed No26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed No26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed No26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202516%4 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef53…f599backed No48c72.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…6dc6backed No72c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes43c69.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7373458.6%430 W · 304 L+47.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5163…9a4fbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed No36c64.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.579137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.827752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e27…d6cabacked Yes31c57.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.733100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+276.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c56.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.781,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4f…bd86backed Yes75c52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No68c51.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.156735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed8…772abacked Yes22c50.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+361%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…019dbacked No59c49.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x841f…5b65backed No73c48.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.