TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$402,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcec3…b76dbacked No37c109,153$39,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,883.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c68,374$32,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,358.2823633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No0c21,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+45.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c15,932$7,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,507.325,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No53c14,937$7,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,989.713336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes41c9,169$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,426.2813641.9%57 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c7,190$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.4362652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c6,445$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.581,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes49c6,099$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.567832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No61c5,321$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.2413533.3%45 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes48c5,151$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.68457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.997263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes39c3,822$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.241050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes46c3,716$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.421560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No53c3,340$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.925949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c3,014$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.441,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd479…dd18backed Yes25c3,000$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba46…956ebacked Yes43c2,691$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes47c2,688$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-76.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes47c2,658$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes77c2,639$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.62,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2751330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.993652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes48c2,257$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.0212449.2%61 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes37c2,226$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.314447.9%69 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes42c2,223$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.132040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c2,062$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.641,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes44c2,045$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.457837.2%29 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No54c1,900$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0261040%4 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Yes48c1,751$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.181030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes69c1,564$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3147155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes76c1,530$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.465962.7%37 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c1…7d67backed Yes47c1,365$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6b…63d9backed Yes23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.63728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes36c1,300$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.748867.8%331 W · 157 L+68.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No51c1,273$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.221216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-70.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes48c1,234$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.415655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes70c1,218$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.532045%9 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No46c1,194$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.257945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No57c1,160$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.1762349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes46c1,144$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.543735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No58c1,132$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.936434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No47c1,077$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.879141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes17c1,037$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Yes49c1,017$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a9…35fcbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5304143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes46c999.99$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked No54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes49c990.82$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.991560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No54c920$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No53c913.22$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.179435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No51c909.33$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46813821%29 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No58c828.96$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.86056.7%34 W · 26 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes47c746.81$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Yes48c700$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes48c699.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes47c666.11$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.983548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed No59c649.07$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.791323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes47c638.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes28c620$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4472142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No52c615.38$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320137.7%1 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.40per pick48cpaid-80.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed No54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No54c599.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked No73c599.97$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…8fbfbacked Yes38c591.26$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+98.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Yes47c590.79$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.467100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+126%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes48c567.52$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.525850%29 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes56c539.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes49c534.45$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4514840.5%60 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No62c497.9$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.71040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes47c465.65$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.999248.9%45 W · 47 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes47c451.69$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.399158.2%53 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed No69c446.92$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.741346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Yes46c438.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.786145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes44c419.96$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No30c419.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.217723.4%18 W · 59 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No54c416.53$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.924936.7%18 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes49c401.68$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.912445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes22c356.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.84537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae8…42c1backed Yes47c340.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No54c337.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.986940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes53c336.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9923845.8%109 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes46c313.63$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f54…79d2backed No52c301.49$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes31c300.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.762343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked No55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc738…7d74backed Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.121637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+90.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No53c293.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2827540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.