TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No60c6,928$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,802.485,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f1…9f40backed Yes48c5,343$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c3,203$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.551,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No74c2,771$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.616434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c2,464$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.3523633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c2,140$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.662,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c1,733$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.791,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes38c1,201$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.47263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes10c1,069$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.568814.8%13 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes13c1,055$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.879325.8%24 W · 69 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes23c1,037$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+90.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No77c999.99$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.883073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No79c670.1$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3413533.3%45 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes23c521.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes45c441.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes24c410.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5623927.2%65 W · 174 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes23c408.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c404.25$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2462652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004427.3%12 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes51c391.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No80c367.09$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.423100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae0…fe76backed Yes29c347.53$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.21333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No71c330.08$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.544040%16 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c326.48$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9279435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes50c325.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.851947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No77c311$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.533647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ed…41e8backed Yes26c307.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes48c306$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.881070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x114b…7bc9backed Yes49c299.49$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes24c297.09$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes26c270.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.162349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No76c258.12$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.996546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Yes9c225$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c210.53$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.639655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes12c210.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes23c208.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No79c200$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.27060%42 W · 28 L+11.5wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes30c195$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8423845.8%109 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Yes49c194.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No68c194$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9314447.9%69 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes19c183.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.185244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef1…d333backed Yes11c183.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.662020%4 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked No75c166.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367948.1%38 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.279141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7318647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Yes30c138.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes19c129.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252218.2%4 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7612449.2%61 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc48…2427backed Yes25c120.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed No66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc205…eec2backed Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes45c109.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes27c103.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284731.9%15 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes28c101.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.373228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…d658backed Yes50c92.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes34c87.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No63c86.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.24955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6615…6fc3backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b8…13a3backed Yes25c71.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes28c71.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e5…06cdbacked Yes24c70.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b9…215cbacked Yes23c67.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes24c64.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3876.9%6 W · 81 L-21.4wins-0.25per pick31cpaid-77.7%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked No74c62.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes26c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No67c61.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.461,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3584…36babacked Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d73…3639backed Yes26c59.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No73c54.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.796786.6%58 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick77cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes24c54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes23c52.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes29c52.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes23c52.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.037723.4%18 W · 59 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f57…503dbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes25c47.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd0…e0f5backed No75c46.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.636100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No58c44.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+54.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x983a…c945backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7348…4dcebacked Yes35c43.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No69c41.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8930750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No65c40.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0723755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.