South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c66aef03b7e886ccdf7fbae43bd80ec23f39c4337bfe0eca0d95b0192241d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,182$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.11 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 3,167$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.91 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 2,941$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.22 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 2,302$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 45c | 2,227$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.19 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 2,079$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.44 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 1,931$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…bf98backed Yes | 45c | 1,533$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,285$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 1,219$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.03 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 32c | 1,075$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.96 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 1,013$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.02 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 864.3$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.13 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 39c | 592.73$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 539.53$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 518$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 33c | 460.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 446$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.71 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 423.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 45c | 359$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 17c | 342.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Yes | 44c | 311.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 70c | 299.95$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 257.21$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 43c | 192.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 43c | 153.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 16c | 133.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 115.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 41c | 113.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…523fbacked Yes | 43c | 111.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 67c | 109$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 104$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Yes | 73c | 93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 65c | 88.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 46c | 66.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 45c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Yes | 29c | 42.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…d3cfbacked Yes | 77c | 42.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 42c | 39.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Yes | 53c | 37.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…e93bbacked Yes | 34c | 35.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 73c | 30.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 57c | 27.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 42c | 27.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 44c | 27.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked No | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…8580backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Yes | 68c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bab…d83cbacked No | 73c | 13.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.