South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x534c00747c43726e4519eae6c2b9150108a7d4c83df163f03b8a8d813506fca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 25c | 998$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 955.83$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 595.18$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 406.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 291.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Yes | 37c | 269.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 23c | 262.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 262.07$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 120.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 72c | 108.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 71c | 62.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…355fbacked No | 73c | 59.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 66c | 54.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.