South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a1182985e6bcc0b4680e39f84dc76d515aacf448c96b0b97bab5a0f5754e6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 39c | 11,129$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.21 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.47 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 4,807$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 4,139$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 72c | 2,606$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 1,729$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.86 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 1,646$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.1 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 70c | 1,549$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.13 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 1,184$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 1,126$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.26 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 28c | 891$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 603.31$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 586.73$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 66c | 329.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 304$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 297.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 29c | 231.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 213$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 208$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 70c | 176.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 14c | 142.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 25c | 128.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 108.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 32c | 93.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Yes | 35c | 89.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 82.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8291backed Yes | 30c | 75.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Yes | 37c | 66.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 62c | 66.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…355fbacked No | 71c | 61.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 60.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 32c | 48.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…065cbacked No | 71c | 46.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 46.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 61c | 43.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 33c | 42.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…d84dbacked Yes | 36c | 39.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…e93bbacked Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 34c | 38.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 68c | 35.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 33.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 63c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes | 36c | 30.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 72c | 19.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 65c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 67c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.