South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970c6dcc5fa10f688f210db27c0d05e1972d66879f3a1acaf8c9602c407a9dad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 25c | 26,502$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,942.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 75c | 16,487$12,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,364.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 6,125$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 33c | 5,695$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 67c | 5,546$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.79 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,823$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 3,368$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.17 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 75c | 2,136$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 2,081$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 27c | 1,860$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +272.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 1,570$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.37 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed No | 75c | 1,207$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 43c | 1,086$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.45 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 906.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.66 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 24c | 823.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.84 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 75c | 800.03$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 73c | 700$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 646.86$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.74 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 76c | 638$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 509.6$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 65c | 438.89$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 77c | 422.46$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.86 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 78c | 422.05$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 353.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.24 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked No | 76c | 330$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 34c | 256.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked No | 78c | 209$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 31c | 201.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 75c | 198$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 49c | 179.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 173.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…dfa4backed No | 24c | 170$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 162.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 45c | 157.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…10b6backed No | 78c | 146.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 75c | 141$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 62c | 126.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed No | 75c | 126$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 121$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Yes | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 101.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed No | 75c | 96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…3324backed No | 77c | 95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 27c | 87.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 76.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Yes | 26c | 64.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 34c | 59.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…8580backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 75c | 47.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 75c | 47.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 46.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…71c9backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed No | 76c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 47c | 36.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 68c | 34.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked No | 77c | 33.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 55c | 25.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 17.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 75c | 16.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…a0c6backed Yes | 75c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 79c | 12.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.