South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x137c2e741c23edec19b32ce65d94db06dd6d493bc2493adab2b7682300e2f252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 6,803$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 36c | 5,885$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 2,908$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 2,695$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.46 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 51c | 914.91$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 46c | 698$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 50c | 595$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 37c | 594.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 42c | 586$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 583$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 525.86$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 434.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 42c | 427.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 406.2$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.82 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 21c | 400.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Yes | 38c | 359.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 50c | 314.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.74 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 292.43$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 38c | 257.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 32c | 245.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 245$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 49c | 201$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 54c | 199.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 44c | 161.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 53c | 157.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ac…4235backed Yes | 9c | 147.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 52c | 110.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 55c | 82.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 80.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked No | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 51c | 68.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 47c | 66.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…526fbacked Yes | 49c | 63.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 47c | 60.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 47c | 59.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 75c | 57.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 57.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 51c | 52.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 41c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…1822backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked No | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Yes | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 41c | 32.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…5cc4backed No | 61c | 31.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed No | 58c | 28.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 54c | 21.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.