La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe655e68c39dd90c132c3674c510b65a43865403e064b381e43f4972adc9d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 7,659$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.03 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 29c | 5,160$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.26 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 4,841$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 27c | 3,897$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 30c | 3,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 72c | 2,405$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.37 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,513$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.77 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,159$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,125$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.6 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 25c | 1,120$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 73c | 1,011$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.93 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 802.98$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 706.7$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 27c | 574.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 507.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes | 28c | 471$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 15c | 386.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 346.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 71c | 158.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 157.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…1f6bbacked Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…915fbacked Yes | 16c | 124.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d71…4c90backed Yes | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…7af9backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 26c | 75.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 72c | 74.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…8580backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 45.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 29c | 41.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked No | 73c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.