La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32eaf6e92f1347ba6da671c299149ea651efe5cb0b26fec916ec06868e28c214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 5,523$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.03 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 2,725$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.2 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Yes | 48c | 2,156$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 54c | 1,987$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.06 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Yes | 47c | 1,211$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes | 48c | 1,082$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,033$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 53c | 570$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked No | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 53c | 399.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 53c | 380.92$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 21c | 308$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 275.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 52c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 54c | 185.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 172.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed No | 59c | 149.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 53c | 84.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 67.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 48c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 36c | 39.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 41c | 34.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 43c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 53c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.